United States·Stable·ELEVATED 45
US-Iran Ceasefire Dynamics
The trajectory indicates a prolonged state of negotiation without significant progress, reflecting ongoing tensions.
Dutch political scientist Kees van den Pijl states that the ceasefire between the US and Iran is highly fragile due to significant gaps in their demands. This situation complicates the prospects for effective and sustainable de-escalation between the two parties.
45
Humanitarian30
Economic25
Security45
Political60
Confidence 45/100 — moderate corroboration
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